The Most Important Thing

书名:The Most Important ThingUncommonSensefortheThoughtfulInvestor
作者:HowardMarks
译者:
ISBN:9780231153683
出版社:ColumbiaUniversityPress
出版时间:2011-5-1
格式:epub/mobi/azw3/pdf
页数:200
豆瓣评分: 9.0

书籍简介:

"This is that rarity, a useful book."–Warren Buffett Howard Marks, the chairman and cofounder of Oaktree Capital Management, is renowned for his insightful assessments of market opportunity and risk. After four decades spent ascending to the top of the investment management profession, he is today sought out by the world's leading value investors, and his client memos brim with insightful commentary and a time-tested, fundamental philosophy. Now for the first time, all readers can benefit from Marks's wisdom, concentrated into a single volume that speaks to both the amateur and seasoned investor. Informed by a lifetime of experience and study, The Most Important Thing explains the keys to successful investment and the pitfalls that can destroy capital or ruin a career. Utilizing passages from his memos to illustrate his ideas, Marks teaches by example, detailing the development of an investment philosophy that fully acknowledges the complexities of investing and the perils of the financial world. Brilliantly applying insight to today's volatile markets, Marks offers a volume that is part memoir, part creed, with a number of broad takeaways. Marks expounds on such concepts as "second-level thinking," the price/value relationship, patient opportunism, and defensive investing. Frankly and honestly assessing his own decisions–and occasional missteps–he provides valuable lessons for critical thinking, risk assessment, and investment strategy. Encouraging investors to be "contrarian," Marks wisely judges market cycles and achieves returns through aggressive yet measured action. Which element is the most essential? Successful investing requires thoughtful attention to many separate aspects, and each of Marks's subjects proves to be the most important thing.

作者简介:

Librarian Note: There is more than one author in the Goodreads database with this name. If adding books to this author, please use Howard^^Marks.

Howard Stanley Marks is an American investor and writer. He holds a B.S.Ec. degree cum laude from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania with a major in finance and an M.B.A. in accounting and marketing from the Booth School of Business of the University of Chicago, where he received the George Hay Brown Prize. He is a CFA® charterholder and a Chartered Investment Counselor.

In 1995, he co-founded Oaktree Capital Management. From 1985 until 1995, he led the groups at The TCW Group, Inc. that were responsible for investments in distressed debt, high yield bonds, and convertible securities. He was also Chief Investment Officer for Domestic Fixed Income at TCW. Previously, he was with Citicorp Investment Management for 16 years, where from 1978 to 1985 he was Vice President and senior portfolio manager in charge of convertible and high yield securities. Between 1969 and 1978, he was an equity research analyst and, subsequently, Citicorp's Director of Research.

书友短评:

@ John Wayne value investment should consider cycle, risk, etc. @ 一苇 the idea of second-level thinking is very powerful @ 踏水而行 A great sales pitch for Oaktree. Just that it leaves the core of the issue untouched, that is, how to determine the value of an asset. @ win0405 the most imoortant thing is low price @ 人可小不士心 原版比中文版好太多。。。。@闲人不嫌没弦 @ 莲 我记得很多年前买过中文版并且读过。那时读了觉得书里说的不是我已经知道的废话嘛,弃之一边。然而这次读英文版,却被深深impressed 了 – 书里每一章都讲进了我的心里。也许是因为,我真正成长了。 @ 灌县王契 a combination of memos. intuitive but lack rigor. @ anotherme 值得一读再读的书。投资的本质是“预测未来”,而未来是“不可预测的”。在投资里唯一能仰赖的是投资者超群的技巧(如果有的话),绝对不是什么时间的朋友。 @ x 毫无干货,全是常识 @ wkk 投资者的时间最好用在获取“可知”的知识优势上:行业、公司、证券的相关信息。你对微观越关注,你越有可能比别人了解得更多。

书籍目录

  • 格雷厄姆给出的答案非常精辟:“要想在证券市场上取得投资成功,第一要正确思考,第二要独立思考。” 巴菲特强调投资成功必须将用脑和用心相结合:“要想在一生中获得投资的成功,并不需要顶级的智商、超凡的商业头脑或秘密的信息,而是需要一个稳妥的思考框架作为决策的基础,并且有能力控制自己的情绪,使其不会对这种思考框架造成侵蚀。格雷厄姆的书能够准确和清晰地提供这种思考框架,但对情绪的约束是你自己必须做到的。” 霍华德·马克斯说得更加直白:“记住,你的投资目标不是达到平均水平;你想要的是超越平均水平。因此,你的思维必须比别人更好——更强有力、水平更高。其他投资者也许非常聪明、消息灵通并且高度计算机化,因此你必须找出一种他们所不具备的优势。你必须想他们所未想,见他们所未见,或者具备他们所不具备的洞察力。你的反应与行为必须与众不同。简而言之,保持正确可能是投资成功的必要条件,但不是充分条件。你必须比其他人做得更加正确……其中的含义是,你的思维方式必须与众不同。”==========我简要概括如下:1.最重要的不是盲目相信股市总是有效或者总是无效,而是清醒认识股市相当高效而且相当难以击败,只有真正的高手才能长期战胜市场。2.最重要的投资决策不是以价格为本,而是以价值为本。3.最重要的不是买好的,而是买得好。4.最重要的不是波动性风险,而是永久损失的可能性风险。5.最重要的巨大风险不在人人恐惧时,而在人人都觉得风险很小时。6.最重要的不是追求高风险高收益,而是追求低风险高收益。7.最重要的不是趋势,而是周期。8.最重要的不是市场心理钟摆的中点,而是终点的反转。9.最重要的不是顺势而为,而是逆势而为。10.最重要的不是想到逆向投资,而是做到逆向投资。11.最重要的不是价格也不是价值,而是相对的性价比,即安全边际。12.最重要的不是主动寻找机会,而是耐心等待机会上门。13.最重要的不是预测未来…
    —— 引自第1页
  • 投资者几乎无须做对什么事,他只需能够避免犯重大错误。设法避免损失比争取伟大的成功更加重要。成功的投资不应过分依赖聚集分布的正常结果,而是必须考虑到离群值的存在。某件事不可能发生的假设具有推动事件发生的潜力。避免错误关键的第一步是保持警惕。杠杆会放大收益,但不会增加价值。做好应对低迷的心理准备,卖出风险更高的资产,减少杠杆,筹集现金,加强投资组合的防御性。投资错误的定义:价格偏离内在价值。现在需要的是谨慎。不需要取巧的时候,自作聪明就会带来潜在错误。
    —— 引自第227页
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