The Rise and Fall of American Growth

书名：The Rise and Fall of American GrowthTheU.S.StandardofLivingsincetheCivilWar
作者：RobertJ.Gordon
译者：
ISBN：9780691147727
出版社：PrincetonUniversityPress
出版时间：2016-1-12
格式：epub/mobi/azw3/pdf
页数：784
豆瓣评分： 7.6

书籍简介：

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end? Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us. A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

作者简介：

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

书友短评：

@ pp "The I.T. revolution is less important than any one of the five Great Inventions that powered economic growth from 1870 to 1970: electricity, urban sanitation, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, the internal combustion engine and modern communication." @ 鹭汀 最不喜欢这种在一个大课题下写得看上去面面俱到实际上毫无重点而对重要问题更是说得不痛不痒的典型学术界的文字污染。我还以为作者会按照时间顺序写，把1870年到1970年分成几个或者十几个世代，每个世代重点讨论当时的发展。但是作者却是按照专题写的，每个专题里絮絮叨叨一个世纪美国的变化。那不是废话吗，一个世纪能变化不大吗。耐着性子看完了前600页各种图表和数据分析，想看看作者对为什么发展停滞了的讨论，以及对未来的展望。结果作者只单薄地讨论了大萧条、新政和二战造就的美国发展，完全忽略了镀金时代和一战，却又支支吾吾无法说出为什么1970年后停滞发展的原因。说一句制造业外流和产业空心化很难么，说一句冷战竞争和国际形势变化很难么，非要东拉西扯一些CNN，FOX级别的美国国内政治正确话题。 @ theSkywalker 真的好长一本书啊，无数个失眠的夜晚读完了这本书，是一本以数据说明美国经济增长衰落的经济史，很多重要发明提高了人类生活质量，但是没有反映到经济增长的数据中，经济增长放缓是不可避免的，第三次工业革命看似很多创新，但是增长速度完全不可与前两次同日而语，Inequality, government debt, demographics, education 是阻碍美国经济继续增长的源头，作者觉得发明创新的政策改革空间不大，消除不平等和提升教育才是重点，提出了税收和教育改革计划，drug legalization那一条有点离谱了，完全无所谓人的身体健康，纯经济因素考虑 @ Parhelion 最不喜欢这种在一个大课题下写得看上去面面俱到实际上毫无重点而对重要问题更是说得不痛不痒的典型学术界的文字污染。我还以为作者会按照时间顺序写，把1870年到1970年分成几个或者十几个世代，每个世代重点讨论当时的发展。但是作者却是按照专题写的，每个专题里絮絮叨叨一个世纪美国的变化。那不是废话吗，一个世纪能变化不大吗。耐着性子看完了前600页各种图表和数据分析，想看看作者对为什么发展停滞了的讨论，以及对未来的展望。结果作者只单薄地讨论了大萧条、新政和二战造就的美国发展，完全忽略了镀金时代和一战，却又支支吾吾无法说出为什么1970年后停滞发展的原因。说一句制造业外流和产业空心化很难么，说一句冷战竞争和国际形势变化很难么，非要东拉西扯一些CNN，FOX级别的美国国内政治正确话题。

Preface ix
1. Introduction: The Ascent and Descent of Growth 1
PART I. 1870-1940-THE GREAT INVENTIONS CREATE A REVOLUTION INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE HOME 25
2. The Starting Point: Life and Work in 1870 27
3. What They Ate and Wore and Where They Bought It 62
4. The American Home: From Dark and Isolated to Bright and Networked 94
5. Motors Overtake Horses and Rail: Inventions and Incremental Improvements 129
6. From Telegraph to Talkies: Information, Communication, and Entertainment 172
7. Nasty, Brutish, and Short: Illness and Early Death 206
8. Working Conditions on the Job and at Home 247
9. Taking and Mitigating Risks: Consumer Credit, Insurance, and the Government 288
Entr'acte. The Midcentury Shift from Revolution to Evolution 319
PART II. 1940-2015-THE GOLDEN AGE AND THE EARLY WARNINGS OF SLOWER GROWTH 329
10. Fast Food, Synthetic Fibers, and Split-Level Subdivisions: The Slowing Transformation of Food, Clothing, and Housing 331
11. See the USA in Your Chevrolet or from a Plane Flying High Above 374
12. Entertainment and Communications from Milton Berle to the iPhone 409
13. Computers and the Internet from the Mainframe to Facebook 441
14. Antibiotics, CT Scans, and the Evolution of Health and Medicine 461
15. Work, Youth, and Retirement at Home and on the Job 498
Entr'acte. Toward an Understanding of Slower Growth 522
PART III. THE SOURCES OF FASTER AND SLOWER GROWTH 533
16. The Great Leap Forward from the 1920s to the 1950s: What Set of Miracles Created It? 535
17. Innovation: Can the Future Match the Great Inventions of the Past? 566
18. Inequality and the Other Headwinds: Long-Run American Economic Growth Slows to a Crawl 605
Postscript: America's Growth Achievement and the Path Ahead 641
Acknowledgments 653 Data Appendix 657 Notes 667
References 717 Credits 741 Index 745
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　　Princeton Economic History of the Western World(共52册)，这套丛书还有《Unsettled Account》《The Strictures of Inheritance》《The Big Problem of Small Change》《A Farewell to Alms》《The Son Also Rises》等。

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